This is my final prediction. You know why?
Look at Pennsylvania's demographics: It is a Rust Belt State through-and-through. It is basically two-thirds Ohio and one-third Philadelphia. Unions are huge here, just as they are in Ohio. There are less blacks in the Pennsylvania electorate than in Ohio and a sizable Jewish population (which may go either way given that New York Jews love Hillary, whereas Connecticut Jews broke slightly for Obama). Late deciders are known to break for Hillary. Her numbers in the polls are comparable to those before the Ohio primary, and polls are trending her way.
There. Is. No. Reason. She. Shouldn't. Win. Big. Period.
Oh, and as for the GOP primary? Ron Paul. I just feel the REVOLution.
UPDATE AT 8:45 P.M. ON APRIL 22: HILLARY CLINTON WINS PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY
Look at Pennsylvania's demographics: It is a Rust Belt State through-and-through. It is basically two-thirds Ohio and one-third Philadelphia. Unions are huge here, just as they are in Ohio. There are less blacks in the Pennsylvania electorate than in Ohio and a sizable Jewish population (which may go either way given that New York Jews love Hillary, whereas Connecticut Jews broke slightly for Obama). Late deciders are known to break for Hillary. Her numbers in the polls are comparable to those before the Ohio primary, and polls are trending her way.
There. Is. No. Reason. She. Shouldn't. Win. Big. Period.
Oh, and as for the GOP primary? Ron Paul. I just feel the REVOLution.
UPDATE AT 8:45 P.M. ON APRIL 22: HILLARY CLINTON WINS PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY
12 praise(s):
EXCELLENT GOP PREDICTION!
The Fact that you added the rEVOLution in respect to Ron Paul, gives you my eternal protection from all liberals.
It is also nice to see that someone is looking at the Pennsylvania Primaries from a logical point of view. Due to the fact that Pennsylvania is a predominantly white state makes your prediction not only logical but obvious.
Great Prediction! :D
Go Ron Paul
He's identified the problems. Too bad his solutions suck balls.
Iowa is 98% white as well, anna, yet it went for Barack.
So much for that theory.
Your tag is amusing. "Pruge liberals--First through diplomacy, then by force."
Well, if that isn't typically Republican. Turn arms against fellow Americans but too cowardly to fight in Iraq.
http://www.votevets.org
Anna is right: White primary States tend to go for Clinton. Iowa was a caucus. Also, the racial polarisation of the campaign was virtually non-existent compared to now.
To comment #5: It was a joke, you dolt. And learn to either spell or copy-paste.
Who lost?
We did. All three candidates are liberals.
McCain is a goddamned LIBERAL Republican.
If he wins, Conservatism is dead.
Trying to exploit race shows how lazy and desperate you rethugs have become. Clinton didn't do well with white male voters, but still won.
Barack is putting a lot of red states in play. 623,141 people voted for him in freakin VA, which is more than twice of ALL the votes for the entire GOP race, including Suckabee and McCain.
And, by the way, he is doing just fine with white male voters:
http://www.jedreport.com/2008/03/barack-obamas-m.html
White males like me, and everyone else, are tired of being told we have to be so scared that we should surrender our constitutional freedoms to the terrorists. We are also tired of the corruption and incompetence of what will go down as the worst administration in history.
The rest of America has wisened up. A conservative will never again win the White House.
Deal with it.
PS-if U are going to correct that guy's spelling, spell right yourself. It's "polarization"
Morthgar, you ignorant slut!
First off, Hillary and her husband are the ones who have been exploiting race, not the Republicans. I was merely making an observation. She won white women and lost white men by a much, much smaller margin than black men. If white men had given Obama 93% and not 53%, he would have won. DEAL WITH IT.
Hey, guess what? In Virginia, there is a large black population which always votes Democrat but does not comprise a large enough portion of the State to make it Blue. There, white female Democrats - Hillary's base - voted for her, and men voted for Obama. Again, the white male margin of victory was much, much smaller than with black males. Also, the Republican vote was likely depressed due to the fact that many Republicans saw the race as already decided by that point. If you are going to cite a large voter discrepancy by Party, you should cite a Super Tuesday State or earlier, and there were many.
And "polarisation" is the British spelling of the word. That's how I write, jackass.
Actually, scratch that. Hillary won white men 53-46:
http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/vote-polls/PA.html
Or by even more if you look at CNN (Page 6):
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#PADEM
Great to see you posting again. Sorry you had to get two brain-dead dolts when you did, though.
"The rest of America has wisened up. A conservative will never again win the White House."
First off, it's wiZened, second off, it's going to be so, so satisfying when you have to eat those words.
You updated the "About Me" just for them.
Shame. It was funny. Oh well.
Best of luck with college, and I hope you can afford to have time for this blog.
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