First off, Barack Obama will win Montana, and Hillary Clinton will win South Dakota. I'm honestly not sure why Obama is doing so well in MT but not SD, but that's what the exit polls appear to be saying.
Obama has already clinched the nomination; his superdelegates simply haven't come out publicly yet. They will tonight and tomorrow.
Hillary Clinton will likely suspend her campaign for the sake of appearing sane and to stop losing money. She will fight for full representation of Florida and Michigan, for the disqualification of contested caucuses and will try to win back Obama superdelegates. There have been many Clinton-to-Obama defections thus far; there has been not one Obama-to-Clinton superdelegate reversal.
Will Obama pick Clinton for his VP? He is between a rock and a hard place. Putting Clinton on the ticket will assuage some - but certainly not all - disaffected Clinton voters. But what of those who voted for Clinton out of pure racism? What of Clinton voters like this one? I doubt that she's alone, even if there isn't an overwhelming groundswell against Obama. If I had to guess, I'd say he will not. Who wants Shrillary and Bubba dictating his campaign from behind the scenes?
A word of caution, dear readers. There will likely be a brief spike in Obama's support in general election match-ups against John McCain. This will pass, as it is merely a result of the re-alignment which comes whenever one of the major political parties chooses their nominee. The same thing happened to McCain, and it subsided. This will be a close one no matter who wins. As for my prediction about the final result of the Presidential race: You'll just have to wait till November 4th, won't you?
UPDATE: Duh.
Obama has already clinched the nomination; his superdelegates simply haven't come out publicly yet. They will tonight and tomorrow.
Hillary Clinton will likely suspend her campaign for the sake of appearing sane and to stop losing money. She will fight for full representation of Florida and Michigan, for the disqualification of contested caucuses and will try to win back Obama superdelegates. There have been many Clinton-to-Obama defections thus far; there has been not one Obama-to-Clinton superdelegate reversal.
Will Obama pick Clinton for his VP? He is between a rock and a hard place. Putting Clinton on the ticket will assuage some - but certainly not all - disaffected Clinton voters. But what of those who voted for Clinton out of pure racism? What of Clinton voters like this one? I doubt that she's alone, even if there isn't an overwhelming groundswell against Obama. If I had to guess, I'd say he will not. Who wants Shrillary and Bubba dictating his campaign from behind the scenes?
A word of caution, dear readers. There will likely be a brief spike in Obama's support in general election match-ups against John McCain. This will pass, as it is merely a result of the re-alignment which comes whenever one of the major political parties chooses their nominee. The same thing happened to McCain, and it subsided. This will be a close one no matter who wins. As for my prediction about the final result of the Presidential race: You'll just have to wait till November 4th, won't you?
UPDATE: Duh.
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