All right. I think Obama will pick Indiana Senator Evan Bayh.
I want him to pick Delaware Senator Joe Biden.
Here's some stuff we know.
Assuming this was a Freudian slip, his VP is not a woman. Granted, we already knew Hillary was out of the running because she is slated to speak the second night of the convention, and the VP will speak the third. Also, Nader said it's Hillary. Yeah, it's not Hill-dawg.
Now, Biden said, "I'm not the guy" when asked if he was going to be Obama's VP. He's now backing off that statement.
And that is exactly why I want him as Obama's VP.
Biden is a gaffe machine. Remember the embarrassment which were the Roberts and Alito hearings? How about his "clean, articulate" crack about Obama himself? Oh, and lest we forget his unfortunate remarks about Indians. (This is why it is a pity Bobby Jindal has ruled himself out!)
Oh, and he also seemed a tad too excited to declare, "My State was a slave State!" Really, now? Good to know, white devil.
Also, if Biden is selected based on his foreign policy credentials, John McCain will annihilate him. Remember, Biden was the foremost proponent of splitting Iraq into three separate countries, each with a different ethnic group. He also opposed the troop surge. In other words, he is utterly, completely, undeniably awful on his key issue. For Obama to pick Biden is to make mincemeat of his own ticket.
Now, Bayh is not really a bad choice nationally, but he is dangerous at the State level. The State of Indiana, that is.
Look at the polls: SurveyUSA had Obama up by a statistically insignificant point back in June.
Now, McCain is up five - consistent with his improvement in many State and national polls.
Evan Bayh is immensely popular in Indiana. George W. Bush bested John Kerry there in 2004 by a margin of 60-39%. Bayh was also up for reëlection that year and raked in 62% of the vote. Bayh got 35% of the Republican vote. Bush got just 15% of Democrat voters. Bush split independents his way; Bayh won nearly three out of every four.
Bayh's popularity stems from his tenure as Indiana Governor. He passed the largest tax cut in State history, adding to his reputation as a "moderate". (See a picture of him cutting a gigantic licence plate in two here.)
Bayh is also a former Hillary Clinton supporter. Obama's picking him would be seen as an olive branch to the many, many Democrats who might very well vote McCain or just sit out the election entirely.
So, to repeat: I stand by my earlier prediction that it will be Bayh, but I hope I'm wrong. Biden is an idiot from a Blue State. Bayh is an advantageous pick from a Red State which is tempted to flip due to its proximity to Illinois combined with Bayh's home State appeal. I suppose we could just say that Bayh will be another John Edwards who does nothing to help the head of his Party's ticket win his State, but remember: John Edwards was never that popular in North Carolina. He left open his Senate seat, and it went Republican. Again, Bayh is popular in Indiana.
For Obama to pick him would accomplish two key objectives: Reaching out to Hillary supporters and putting a Red State in play when the Republicans are already playing defence in once-reliably Red territory, such as Virginia, North Carolina and even Montana and the Dakotas. I strongly doubt the latter four will go Democrat this year, and I even question the possibility of a Blue Virginia. But the fact remains, McCain should be boasting double-digit leads over Obama in all of those States except Virginia. He's doing better than he was at the beginning of the summer, but he's coming from a very dangerous place right now in a political environment as toxic to Republicans as ever. Make no mistake, if Obama picks Bayh, the GOP should be very, very afraid.
Pray for Biden.
***
Addendum: Here is a great list of Biden's gaffes.
I want him to pick Delaware Senator Joe Biden.
Here's some stuff we know.
Assuming this was a Freudian slip, his VP is not a woman. Granted, we already knew Hillary was out of the running because she is slated to speak the second night of the convention, and the VP will speak the third. Also, Nader said it's Hillary. Yeah, it's not Hill-dawg.
Now, Biden said, "I'm not the guy" when asked if he was going to be Obama's VP. He's now backing off that statement.
And that is exactly why I want him as Obama's VP.
Biden is a gaffe machine. Remember the embarrassment which were the Roberts and Alito hearings? How about his "clean, articulate" crack about Obama himself? Oh, and lest we forget his unfortunate remarks about Indians. (This is why it is a pity Bobby Jindal has ruled himself out!)
Oh, and he also seemed a tad too excited to declare, "My State was a slave State!" Really, now? Good to know, white devil.
Also, if Biden is selected based on his foreign policy credentials, John McCain will annihilate him. Remember, Biden was the foremost proponent of splitting Iraq into three separate countries, each with a different ethnic group. He also opposed the troop surge. In other words, he is utterly, completely, undeniably awful on his key issue. For Obama to pick Biden is to make mincemeat of his own ticket.
Now, Bayh is not really a bad choice nationally, but he is dangerous at the State level. The State of Indiana, that is.
Look at the polls: SurveyUSA had Obama up by a statistically insignificant point back in June.
Now, McCain is up five - consistent with his improvement in many State and national polls.
Evan Bayh is immensely popular in Indiana. George W. Bush bested John Kerry there in 2004 by a margin of 60-39%. Bayh was also up for reëlection that year and raked in 62% of the vote. Bayh got 35% of the Republican vote. Bush got just 15% of Democrat voters. Bush split independents his way; Bayh won nearly three out of every four.
Bayh's popularity stems from his tenure as Indiana Governor. He passed the largest tax cut in State history, adding to his reputation as a "moderate". (See a picture of him cutting a gigantic licence plate in two here.)
Bayh is also a former Hillary Clinton supporter. Obama's picking him would be seen as an olive branch to the many, many Democrats who might very well vote McCain or just sit out the election entirely.
So, to repeat: I stand by my earlier prediction that it will be Bayh, but I hope I'm wrong. Biden is an idiot from a Blue State. Bayh is an advantageous pick from a Red State which is tempted to flip due to its proximity to Illinois combined with Bayh's home State appeal. I suppose we could just say that Bayh will be another John Edwards who does nothing to help the head of his Party's ticket win his State, but remember: John Edwards was never that popular in North Carolina. He left open his Senate seat, and it went Republican. Again, Bayh is popular in Indiana.
For Obama to pick him would accomplish two key objectives: Reaching out to Hillary supporters and putting a Red State in play when the Republicans are already playing defence in once-reliably Red territory, such as Virginia, North Carolina and even Montana and the Dakotas. I strongly doubt the latter four will go Democrat this year, and I even question the possibility of a Blue Virginia. But the fact remains, McCain should be boasting double-digit leads over Obama in all of those States except Virginia. He's doing better than he was at the beginning of the summer, but he's coming from a very dangerous place right now in a political environment as toxic to Republicans as ever. Make no mistake, if Obama picks Bayh, the GOP should be very, very afraid.
Pray for Biden.
***
Addendum: Here is a great list of Biden's gaffes.
1 praise(s):
First...I don't really think that was a slip. He's got a man picked, I'm sure (insert homo-erotic pun here). I do agree on Biden though. Let's see what he does.
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