10:58 - OBAMA PASSES 270. MY COVERAGE ENDS BECAUSE MY BLOG IS A PLACE OF HAPPINESS.
10:41 - SOUTH CAROLINA: MCCAIN
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA 220, MCCAIN 141
10:41 - VIRGINIA: OBAMA - THE FIRST DEMOCRATIC WIN THERE SINCE 1964
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA 220, MCCAIN 138
10:23 - NEBRASKA: MCCAIN GETS THREE OUT OF FIVE SO FAR
HOUSE CALLS: THE LAST NEW ENGLAND REPUBLICAN, CHRIS SHAYS, GOES DOWN
DEMOCRATS HOLD KENTUCKY, GEORGIA SEATS
REPUBLICANS HOLD FLORIDA SEAT, LOSE ANOTHER
DEMOCRATS LOSE THE MAHONEY SEAT (FOLEY'S OLD SEAT)
DEMOCRATS FILL VACANCIES IN ILLINOIS AND NEW YORK
MELISSA HART FAILS TO RETAKE HER OLD PENNSYLVANIA SEAT
PENNSYLVANIA REPRESENTATIVE JOHN MURTHA CALLS HIS OWN RACE, BUT FNC DOESN'T
NORTH CAROLINA GOVERNOR'S RACE ENDS IN DEMOCRATIC VICTORY
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA 207, MCCAIN 138
10:16 - MISSISSIPPI: MCCAIN (If I may add, finally!)
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA 207, MCCAIN 135
9:59 - I've been gone, but Texas has been called for McCain in my absence.
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA 207, MCCAIN 129
UTAH: MCCAIN
IOWA: OBAMA
UTAH'S GOVERNOR (R) WINS
REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR TEXAS SENATE SEAT
DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR MONTANA SENATE SEAT
DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR IOWA SENATE SEAT
9:42 - OF NOTE: TEXAS, SOUTH DAKOTA, NEBRASKA TOO CLOSE TO CALL
9:32 - LOUISIANA: MCCAIN
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 200 MCCAIN 90
9:18 - OHIO: OBAMA - CALL IT FOR THE MESSIAH
9:05 - DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR MICHIGAN SENATE SEAT
REPUBLICANS HOLD BOTH WYOMING SENATE SEATS (ONE WAS SPECIAL)
REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR KANSAS SENATE SEAT
DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR SOUTH DAKOTA SENATE SEAT
REPUBLICAN LOSE THEIR NEW MEXICO SENATE SEAT
REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR MISSISSIPPI SENATE SEAT
9:00 - WISCONSIN: OBAMA
NEW MEXICO: OBAMA - FIRST SWITCH
NORTH DAKOTA: MCCAIN
MINNESOTA: OBAMA
NEW YORK: OBAMA
RHODE ISLAND: OBAMA
WYOMING: MCCAIN
KANSAS: MCCAIN
FNC ACCIDENTALLY CALLS OHIO - WHEW!!!
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 183 MCCAIN 81
HOUSE RACES: GOP LOSES FL CD:24; HOLDS CD: 13
8:42 - REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR GEORGIA SENATE SEAT
8:38 - GEORGIA: MCCAIN
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 103 MCCAIN 69
8:30 - ARKANSAS: MCCAIN
DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR MA SENATE SEAT (JOHN KERRY)
DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR AR SENATE SEAT
DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR IL SENATE SEAT (DICK DURBIN)
REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR TN SENATE SEAT
REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR AL SENATE SEAT
REPUBLICANS HOLD ONE MS SENATE SEAT; SPECIAL ELECTION SEAT TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 103 MCCAIN 54
8:29 - PENNSYLVANIA: OBAMA
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 103 MCCAIN 45
8:25 - JOHN SUNUNU (R-NH) HAS BEEN DEFEATED
8:13 - NEW HAMPSHIRE: OBAMA
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 81 MCCAIN 39
8:09 - ELIZABETH DOLE (R-NC) HAS BEEN DEFEATED
8:08 - SENATE MINORITY LEADER MITCH MCCONNELL OF KENTUCKY HAS WON
8:04 - TENNESSEE: MCCAIN
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 77 MCCAIN 39
8:02 - REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR OK SENATE SEAT
JOE BIDEN KEEPS HIS DELAWARE SENATE SEAT
DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR NJ SENATE SEAT
REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR ME SENATE SEAT
8:00 - MASSACHUSETTS: OBAMA
MARYLAND: OBAMA
ILLINOIS: OBAMA
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA: OBAMA
CONNECTICUT: OBAMA
MAINE: OBAMA
NEW JERSEY: OBAMA
DELAWARE: OBAMA
OKLAHOMA: MCCAIN
MISSOURI: TCTC
PENNSYLVANIA: TCTC
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 77 MCCAIN 28
7:58 - MORE MAP MAYHEM: FNC SITE CALLS ILLINOIS, MARYLAND, NEW JERSEY, CONNECTICUT, MASSACHUSETTS, MAINE FOR OBAMA; OKLAHOMA FOR MCCAIN
7:50 - SOUTH CAROLINA: MCCAIN
EC: OBAMA, 3 MCCAIN, 21
7:40 - ANOTHER SLIP UP? DELAWARE BRIEFLY BLUE ON FNC MAP. NO SURPRISE, BUT IT'S TOO EARLY
7:30 - WEST VIRGINIA: MCCAIN
NORTH CAROLINA: TCTC
OHIO: TCTC
GEORGIA: TCTC
WEST VIRGINIA GOVERNOR JOE MANCHIN (D) WINS
DEMOCRATS HOLD THEIR WV SENATE SEAT
NC SENATE TCTC
ELECTORAL VOTE: OBAMA, 3 MCCAIN, 13
7:24 - SLIP UP? FOX NEWS' WEB SITE HAS MCCAIN WINNING WEST VIRGINIA, BUT POLLS DON'T CLOSE FOR SIX MORE MINUTES
7:00 - VERMONT: OBAMA
KENTUCKY: MCCAIN
GEORGIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
VIRGINIA: TCTC
SOUTH CAROLINA: TCTC
INDIANA: TCTC
INDIANA GOVERNOR MITCH DANIELS (R) WINS
REPUBLICANS LOSE THEIR VIRGINIA SENATE SEAT
REPUBLICANS HOLD THEIR SC SENATE SEAT
GEORGIA SENATE TCTC
KENTUCKY SENATE TCTC
ELECTORAL COLLEGE: MCCAIN, 8 OBAMA, 3
6:55 - LIVE COVERAGE BEGINS!
Tuesday, 4 November 2008
IT'S HERE. PRE-VOTING THOUGHTS, PREDICTIONS, SEXY TIMES.
All right. Honestly, I have no idea who is going to win this thing. But I think it will be close.
Here's my State-by-State break-down:
Alabama: Despite increased black turn-out, Mac in a rout.
Alaska: Tight earlier this year, but Sarah fixed that for us.
Arizona: Ignore the recent tight polls and The One's recent ad blitz. Mac won over 70% of the vote here four years ago. It'll be solid Red. Also, the marriage amendment passes.
Arkansas: Hillary's not running. Go, Johnny, go!
California: As with AZ, ignore Obama's ad buy. Also, I predict Proposition 8, the same-sex "marriage" ban, will pass due to, ironically, pro-Obama blacks. Sadly, Prop 4 may fail, as parental notification initiatives always seem to do poorly here.
Colorado: If it's closer than the polls suggest, then Mac might get this. CO went for Bush by five four years ago, but Obama is doing well with Hispanics. I'm tempted to give this one to Obama, actually, but McCain has hit this one hard. I won't call it, but I'm tempted to say it's O's.
Connecticut: Joe "Ambien" Lieberman is a nice endorser, but sorry, Mac. Obama.
Delaware: With or without Plugs, Obama would take this. Increased black turn-out doesn't hurt him, either.
District of Columbia: Obama. Really.
Florida: I call it for Mac. The demographics here are just too anti-Obama (Cubans, old people, older Jews). Obama's dishonest commercials about McCain slashing Social Security benefits will only do so much. Also, the Obama panic memo from last week gives me hope. A majority supports the same-sex "marriage" ban, but it doesn't hit 60% and fails.
Georgia: Mac. Yes, there's lots of blacks. Doesn't matter. Mac wins it.
Hawai'i: Obama was born here. It already leans Blue. He'll win it.
Idaho: Sarah was born here, but that's the icing on this already conservative cake. Mmm... Cake.
Illinois: Even if Obama weren't a Senator here, the dead vote tends to break Democrat here, so it's a lock for O.
Indiana: Bush won this by 20, and I'll bet you Mac will be back here, too.
Iowa: Written off earlier this year due to Mac ignoring the caucuses and opposing corn ethanol subsidies, Mac, Sarah and O campaigned here in the race's closing days. I still think O will get it, but it will be a lot closer than it should be.
Kansas: Looks like we're not in Obama country any more! Mac crushes.
Kentucky: Let's get mavericky. McCain wins.
Louisiana: Katrina displacement or none, Mac wins.
Maine: The electoral vote is split here. If you win the popular vote, you get three votes, but Mac might win the rural northern district. I'm inclined to think he won't, but it'd be cool seeing the electronic maps on all the news stations mess up if he did.
Maryland: Blacks. Democrats. Obama wins.
Massachusetts: We, for one, welcome our redistributionist overlords! Also, the pro-pot initiative wins, maaaaan.
Michigan: Mac pulled out of here for a reason. Shame. I thought he had a shot. Detroit and their high black population hurts him here. O wins.
Minnesota: I was sceptical of the tightening polls... Then my friend gave me this. Let's not call this one just yet! Hopefully Franken's Senate bid is hurting O here.
Mississippi: Hah! I laugh at your attempts at raising Obama's hopes here! MAC GETS.
Missouri: Regardless of who wins the general, I believe Mac will win here.
Montana: ZOMG! MAC ONLY UP FOUR! RNC SPENDING HERE!!! AHH!!! GAME OVER, MAN!!!
...
SNAP OUT IT. Mac wins here.
Nebraska: Yes, they split their electoral votes. Yes, Obama wanted one. No, he won't get any.
Nevada: Tough call, but methinks Mac wins. Sarah has been campaigning here a lot, and the rural folks here are not too fond of the Blessed One.
New Hampshire: I am curious about this one. I'll bet you it's closer than the polls suggest. Can't call, but remember: They love this guy here, and Hillary won the primary by the hairs on her chinny chin chin.
New Jersey: I think Obama will win it, but my friend who works closely with the State GOP says it's close. If that's true, expect a long-ass night. Remember, Kerry won here by seven.
New Mexico: Despite winning the coveted alien vote, Mac will probably come up short here. Sorry...
North Carolina: Screw the polls. In the words of my friend from Raleigh: "HIS MIDDLE NAME IS HUSSEIN! HE'S GONNA GET ASSASSINATED! THERE'S LIKE THREE KLANS IN NORTH CAROLINA!!!"
North Dakota: It's ours. Bush crushed here. Mac will squish here.
Ohio: Rural voters hate Obama, and Sarah draws record crowds here. Mac will get it.
Oklahoma: Where the corn is as high as the maverick's eye! OK is A-OK for MAC!
Oregon: Obama wins it. They are a totally mail-in vote State, and no-one has campaigned here.
Pennsylvania: PUMAs. Murtha. Obama. I think we can get it. Also, look at this. Kerry barely won. Meanwhile, early exit polls show Obama up just 15. Hmmm...
Rhode Island: Hillary crushed here in the primary, and so will Obama in the general.
South Carolina: Mac and SC have a rocky history, but really... Obama? In South Carolina? Puh-leeze, girl-friend.
South Dakota: They do not like Obama here. They cling to their guns and their religion, and guess what? They cling to the Republican ticket.
Tennessee: RED ALERT! WHOO!!!
Texas: Bush may be out, but McCain is oh-so-in. Holla!
Utah: Unless there is an upswing in pro-abortion, homosexual Mormons, I think we're safe here.
Vermont: Let's not talk about it.
Virginia: Screw the polls. I think Mac is getting it. This doesn't hurt, either.
Washington: Goes Obama. Jerks.
West Virginia: Coally crap! Obama will get smashed!
Wisconsin: Sadly, this won't be as close as the last few elections. It's going for O.
Wyoming: I hear that Cheney fellow is despised here (LOL). Mac gits 'er dun.
Also, I say 58/42 Democrat Senate (technically 56D 42R 2I). I say the House will be about 250D and 185R. Missouri's Governorship switches hands. North Carolina and Washington are too close to call.
Here's my State-by-State break-down:
Alabama: Despite increased black turn-out, Mac in a rout.
Alaska: Tight earlier this year, but Sarah fixed that for us.
Arizona: Ignore the recent tight polls and The One's recent ad blitz. Mac won over 70% of the vote here four years ago. It'll be solid Red. Also, the marriage amendment passes.
Arkansas: Hillary's not running. Go, Johnny, go!
California: As with AZ, ignore Obama's ad buy. Also, I predict Proposition 8, the same-sex "marriage" ban, will pass due to, ironically, pro-Obama blacks. Sadly, Prop 4 may fail, as parental notification initiatives always seem to do poorly here.
Colorado: If it's closer than the polls suggest, then Mac might get this. CO went for Bush by five four years ago, but Obama is doing well with Hispanics. I'm tempted to give this one to Obama, actually, but McCain has hit this one hard. I won't call it, but I'm tempted to say it's O's.
Connecticut: Joe "Ambien" Lieberman is a nice endorser, but sorry, Mac. Obama.
Delaware: With or without Plugs, Obama would take this. Increased black turn-out doesn't hurt him, either.
District of Columbia: Obama. Really.
Florida: I call it for Mac. The demographics here are just too anti-Obama (Cubans, old people, older Jews). Obama's dishonest commercials about McCain slashing Social Security benefits will only do so much. Also, the Obama panic memo from last week gives me hope. A majority supports the same-sex "marriage" ban, but it doesn't hit 60% and fails.
Georgia: Mac. Yes, there's lots of blacks. Doesn't matter. Mac wins it.
Hawai'i: Obama was born here. It already leans Blue. He'll win it.
Idaho: Sarah was born here, but that's the icing on this already conservative cake. Mmm... Cake.
Illinois: Even if Obama weren't a Senator here, the dead vote tends to break Democrat here, so it's a lock for O.
Indiana: Bush won this by 20, and I'll bet you Mac will be back here, too.
Iowa: Written off earlier this year due to Mac ignoring the caucuses and opposing corn ethanol subsidies, Mac, Sarah and O campaigned here in the race's closing days. I still think O will get it, but it will be a lot closer than it should be.
Kansas: Looks like we're not in Obama country any more! Mac crushes.
Kentucky: Let's get mavericky. McCain wins.
Louisiana: Katrina displacement or none, Mac wins.
Maine: The electoral vote is split here. If you win the popular vote, you get three votes, but Mac might win the rural northern district. I'm inclined to think he won't, but it'd be cool seeing the electronic maps on all the news stations mess up if he did.
Maryland: Blacks. Democrats. Obama wins.
Massachusetts: We, for one, welcome our redistributionist overlords! Also, the pro-pot initiative wins, maaaaan.
Michigan: Mac pulled out of here for a reason. Shame. I thought he had a shot. Detroit and their high black population hurts him here. O wins.
Minnesota: I was sceptical of the tightening polls... Then my friend gave me this. Let's not call this one just yet! Hopefully Franken's Senate bid is hurting O here.
Mississippi: Hah! I laugh at your attempts at raising Obama's hopes here! MAC GETS.
Missouri: Regardless of who wins the general, I believe Mac will win here.
Montana: ZOMG! MAC ONLY UP FOUR! RNC SPENDING HERE!!! AHH!!! GAME OVER, MAN!!!
...
SNAP OUT IT. Mac wins here.
Nebraska: Yes, they split their electoral votes. Yes, Obama wanted one. No, he won't get any.
Nevada: Tough call, but methinks Mac wins. Sarah has been campaigning here a lot, and the rural folks here are not too fond of the Blessed One.
New Hampshire: I am curious about this one. I'll bet you it's closer than the polls suggest. Can't call, but remember: They love this guy here, and Hillary won the primary by the hairs on her chinny chin chin.
New Jersey: I think Obama will win it, but my friend who works closely with the State GOP says it's close. If that's true, expect a long-ass night. Remember, Kerry won here by seven.
New Mexico: Despite winning the coveted alien vote, Mac will probably come up short here. Sorry...
North Carolina: Screw the polls. In the words of my friend from Raleigh: "HIS MIDDLE NAME IS HUSSEIN! HE'S GONNA GET ASSASSINATED! THERE'S LIKE THREE KLANS IN NORTH CAROLINA!!!"
North Dakota: It's ours. Bush crushed here. Mac will squish here.
Ohio: Rural voters hate Obama, and Sarah draws record crowds here. Mac will get it.
Oklahoma: Where the corn is as high as the maverick's eye! OK is A-OK for MAC!
Oregon: Obama wins it. They are a totally mail-in vote State, and no-one has campaigned here.
Pennsylvania: PUMAs. Murtha. Obama. I think we can get it. Also, look at this. Kerry barely won. Meanwhile, early exit polls show Obama up just 15. Hmmm...
Rhode Island: Hillary crushed here in the primary, and so will Obama in the general.
South Carolina: Mac and SC have a rocky history, but really... Obama? In South Carolina? Puh-leeze, girl-friend.
South Dakota: They do not like Obama here. They cling to their guns and their religion, and guess what? They cling to the Republican ticket.
Tennessee: RED ALERT! WHOO!!!
Texas: Bush may be out, but McCain is oh-so-in. Holla!
Utah: Unless there is an upswing in pro-abortion, homosexual Mormons, I think we're safe here.
Vermont: Let's not talk about it.
Virginia: Screw the polls. I think Mac is getting it. This doesn't hurt, either.
Washington: Goes Obama. Jerks.
West Virginia: Coally crap! Obama will get smashed!
Wisconsin: Sadly, this won't be as close as the last few elections. It's going for O.
Wyoming: I hear that Cheney fellow is despised here (LOL). Mac gits 'er dun.
Also, I say 58/42 Democrat Senate (technically 56D 42R 2I). I say the House will be about 250D and 185R. Missouri's Governorship switches hands. North Carolina and Washington are too close to call.
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